Of its several new initiatives, the Narendra Modi government has set out at least two very ambitious targets, which are also quantifiable.
Image courtesy : The Indian Express |
One is achieving 100 giga-watts (GW) of solar power generation
capacity by the year 2022. The other is doubling farmers’ income —
presumably in real terms — also by 2022, when India celebrates its 75th
year of Independence.
If achieved, both would mark major leaps forward, given the country’s
current solar generation capacity of barely 8 GW (or 8,000 megawatts)
and the past record of farmers’ real incomes increasing by a mere 3.5
per cent on a compounded annual growth basis during 2002-03 to 2012-13.
If incomes were to, indeed, double in real terms between now and 2022,
the corresponding growth rate would work out to 12 per cent per annum!
So, the question to ask is whether the above targets are really
achievable or simply slogans. We believe that the Modi government can
definitely make substantial progress in meeting both objectives,
provided they are conceived and implemented in unison — a sort of
marrying and building on each other.
Our confidence in this stems primarily from the dramatically
declining costs of solar power, globally as well as in India, by almost
70 per cent since 2010-11. That, as the accompanying chart shows, has
also given a fillip to solar power capacity addition. In the process,
solar power has emerged as a competitive source of energy, especially in
comparison to that produced from burning of coal. The cost of
generating and supplying power through the latter was Rs 5.93/kWh in
India in 2013, as per government estimates. As against this, the bidding
rates in most solar power projects today range between Rs 4.3 to Rs
5.5/kWh.
Chart Courtesy : The Indian Express |
There are two policy innovations needed now that can help unleash a
simultaneous revolution in solar power and doubling of farmers’ incomes.
To start with, the government should have a guaranteed feed-in-tariff
(FIT) for solar energy produced in rural areas and sold to power
distribution companies or discoms. Secondly, the FIT or price paid to
rural producers of solar power should be at least 10-15 per cent higher
than that made to power stations burning coal, so as to address the
negative externalities from the latter on climate change and human
health. This would translate to a rate of Rs 6 to Rs 6.50/kWh for solar
power.
Such innovations in policy could trigger out-of-box ideas. That
includes installing solar panels on farmers’ fields at 15-20 feet height
above the ground. It basically allows enough sunlight for the
photosynthetic activity of the plants growing below the panels.
The farmers’ field would, then, look like a chessboard, growing two
crops. The first is a ‘traditional’ one on the soil and the other a
‘solar crop’ above the ground!
The major benefit to farmers from this is that they would get access
to assured irrigation from solar power. It will replace not just their
diesel gen-sets, but also probably provide freedom from grid-linked
electricity, which is highly uncertain and often of poor quality. If
solar power from their own fields is combined with drip and fertigation,
farmers can reduce water and fertiliser usage by almost 50 per cent
even while raising productivity by 25-40 per cent. Furthermore, they can
feed surplus power over and above their requirements to the grid.
Such guaranteed FIT-based power can provide regular additional
monthly income, besides acting like an income insurance cover when their
traditional crops fail on account of drought. For the government, too,
there can be huge savings on power subsidy bills that currently hover
around Rs 70,000 crore a year.
On-farm solar power generation can, moreover, trigger all-round
development activity in rural India. With availability of quality 24/7
power, there would be a boost to creation of cold chains, food
processing and other small-scale industries that can produce millions of
jobs, apart from the setting up of schools, hospitals and other social
infrastructure in rural areas. Proverbially speaking, Prime Minister
Modi would be able to hit several targets with a single arrow.
The technology for solar power generation on farms, thankfully,
already exists. While countries like Japan, China and the UK have
demonstrated that it can be done, Germany is the unquestioned leader in
the field today, with technologies where the photovoltaic cells in solar
panels can actually move like sunflowers following the direction of
sun. Business-to-business and government-to-government collaboration
with such countries, especially Germany and Japan, can bring in rich
dividends for India. The model’s USP is not only its generating clean
energy on a cost competitive basis, but also inclusiveness through
millions of farmers producing solar power as a second ‘crop’ in their
fields and feeding the surplus electricity to grids on a guaranteed FIT
basis.
What are the challenges to realising the twin dreams of 100 GW of
solar power capacity, including in farms, and doubling of farmer incomes
by 2022? The obvious one is getting the state governments on board for
implementing the system of FIT. This is where the role of power minister
Piyush Goyal comes in. Given his dedicated endeavours for rural
electrification and restoring the financial health of bleeding utilities
through the innovative UDAY (Ujwal Discom Assurance Yojana) scheme, one
hopes he would also move in this direction.
But equally important is the role of the Union Ministry of
Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare. Since doubling of farmers’ incomes is
its responsibility, Krishi Bhawan should proactively work towards
promoting farmers’ solar associations and mobilising necessary finances
through, say, NABARD or even multilateral institutions such as the World
Bank. These can be used to enable farmers make upfront capital
investments on the fields.
But the overall responsibility to get ministries work together in
tandem rests with the Prime Minister’s Office. In his recent trip to
Africa, Modi said: “Aspire high, dream big and do more”. Before him, we
also had former President A P J Abdul Kalam
saying: “Dream is not that which you see while sleeping; it is
something that does not let you sleep”. Can the Modi government rise to
this challenge to turn its slogans to reality through fusion of ideas?
Only time will tell.
Source:The Indian Express
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